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29 March 2021,03:40
市场前瞻
29 March 2021, 03:40
由于推出疫苗的乐观情绪以及美联储解除对银行股息的限制，美国股市上涨。在乔·拜登上任的头一百天里，接种疫苗的目标翻了一番，达到2亿人，美国的前景得到了提振。今天，市场的基调已经从焦虑转向乐观。
苏伊士运河的堵塞进一步加剧了本已紧张的供应链。据估计，它每小时的贸易额为4亿美元。每天通过运河运输的货物价值。尽管试图移走这艘举行船只，但它仍然被困在苏伊士运河，很可能会持续到下周。这一事件为全球供应链带来了挑战，现在只是全球贸易重组的开始。
随着新疆困境的加深，耐克和H&M等欧美零售品牌发表声明抵制新疆棉花。是因为他们反对在中国新疆地区使用强迫劳动生产棉花的离场。此外，中国政府正在寻求对批评和制裁中国人权问题的政府和企业施加实际成本。
金价今日上涨，随着美元下跌和债券收益率稳定，周跌幅收窄。然而，黄金仍在走向首次周损，凸显出其从9个月低点断断续续的反弹。随着越来越多的国家正从这场疫情中复苏，美元也具有弹性，许多因素可能会降低无息黄金的吸引力。
在英国公布2月份零售额增长2.1%之后，英镑兑美元攀升至1.38。零售报告超过2%，显示了英国经济的弹性，提振了英镑。
澳元跌至2月初以来的最低水平，为0.7563，尽管由于风险情绪改善，澳元今日略有反弹。
美元兑日元延续了其上涨势头，目前为止109.67。避险情绪拖累避险货币日元，并继续支持日元升值。
欧元兑美元（EURUSD；日线图）
由于担心欧盟禁止疫苗出口和第三波疫情的可能性，欧元兑美元徘徊在1.18下方。在日线图中，该货币对打破了下行通道，打开了一个更确定的变形压力，并朝着下一个支撑位1.16949前进。在下行方面，欧元兑美元形成双顶，看跌反转格局。此外，该货币对的交易价格低于50和100SMA，而RSI指标略高于30，这不在超卖条件之内，这意味着未来几个交易时段将进一步下跌。
阻力：1.19450, 1.23492
支撑：1.16949, 1.14928, 1.12906
美元兑日元（USDJPY；日线图）
美元兑日元在107.87和109.45之间徘徊了一周多，最终突破了109.45的阻力位。美元兑日元延续了近期上涨的轨迹，今日达到几个月以来的高点。该货币对继续在上升通道内交易，并在50SMA上方表现出色，证实了在111.40点对下一个阻力的新的看涨势头。然而，看涨势头在日线图中可能是RSI为76，表示超买；美元兑日元买家在为任何进一步的积极举措做准备之前，可能会谨慎一些。
阻力：111.40, 114.55
支撑：109.45, 107.87, 106.29
黄金（XAUUSD；日线图）
在再次测试1746.91点的阻力位之后，黄金今日出现了一些抛售。目前，黄金继续徘徊在1720和1746之间的周线阻力位附近。黄金在日线图上仍然锁定在一个狭窄的范围内，寻找一个新方向。在下行方面，黄金仍在50SMA以下交易；与此同时，RSI指数为43仍在中线以下，这表明看跌的偏向。在上行方面，随着黄金继续在阻力位附近徘徊，上行偏强，等待时机突破；与此同时，MACD仍然支持多头。
阻力：1746.91, 1790.23, 1825.24
支撑：1676.89
以行业低点差和闪电般的执行速度交易外汇、指数、贵金属等。
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