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Showing results for: "Pound"

What a New Prime Minister Spells for the Pound’s Future

On Tuesday, 25 October, Rishi Sunak was sworn in as the new Prime Minister of the UK. The 42-year-old is the third UK PM in 7 weeks, replacing Liz Truss, who was PM for the whole of 44 days. Sunak comes at a time of great financial instability for the UK, with …

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Bank of English Stages Emergency Bond Buying as Pound Plunges 

Bank of English Stages Emergency Bond Buying as Pound Plunges  The Bank of England, UK’s Central Bank, has announced this week a temporary gilt-buying programme to urgently respond to a “material risk to UK financial stability” after the pound went into free fall after new prime minister Liz Truss announced tax cuts …

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Pound Freefall Prompts BoE Emergency Bond-Buying

The Bank of England, the UK’s Central Bank, has announced this week a temporary gilt-buying programme to urgently respond to a “material risk to UK financial stability”. This comes as gilt yields were on course for record highs as investors exited UK’s bonds after the government announced underfunded tax cuts and increased …

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Understanding Fundamental Forex Trading Basics

Content: What Is Forex Or The Foreign Exchange?Example Of Forex TradingWhen Is Forex Traded?What Are Quotes In Forex Trading?How Do You Read A Forex Quote?Understanding What Is A Pip And A LotExplaining The Bid, Ask And Spread In Forex TradingWhat Does It Mean To Go Long Or Short In Forex TradingWhat Is …

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Aussie Dollar Gains Ahead Of RBA Rate Decision

The disappointed PMI reading indicates a lack of optimism in the manufacturing sector Investors await the RBA’s interest rate decision, expecting a 25 bps rate hike. Despite Australia’s CPI dropping to 5.6%, it remains distant from the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) readings in both the United States and …

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Equity Markets Positive After Russia Mutiny Resolved

Geopolitical tensions eased following Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow as both parties had reached consensus on certain deals. Political instability in Russia has abated as Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow, leading to a positive response in equity markets, particularly the Nasdaq, which rose over 1%. Oil and gold prices declined as the …

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Stock Markets Slide As Russian Instability Continues

The geopolitical uncertainty saw gold rise slightly, while lending support to a crude oil market plagued by demand concerns Stock markets were rattled as the events over the weekend in Russia heightened geopolitical uncertainty. In a late-night televised speech, the Russian president condemned the leaders of the Wagner mercenaries as traitors, further …

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Russia Mutiny Spurs Risk-Off Sentiment

The rule of Russian President Vladimir Putin, is facing a significant challenge as the Wagner mercenary group advances towards Moscow. The rule of Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has held power for 23 years, is facing a significant challenge as the Wagner mercenary group advances towards Moscow. This development has caused concerns …

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BoE Surprises With 50 Bps Rate Hike

Hike expectations have also increased across other central banks as the focus shifts back to inflation Markets have increased the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, a sentiment also applied to other major central banks worldwide, including those of the U.K, Switzerland, and Norway. Furthermore, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen …

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Powell Signals Higher Rates

On the first day of Jerome Powell’s two-day testimony before the House, the Federal Reserve Chair delivered a semi-annual monetary policy report. The equity markets and the dollar both experienced declines as Powell took a hawkish stance, stating that the central bank would need to raise interest rates further to curtail U.S. …

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Dollar Stands Pat Ahead Of Powell’s Testimony

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to give his twice-yearly testimony before congress today The market is exhibiting cautious sentiment as it edged lower in anticipation of Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivering his semi-annual monetary policy report before the House today (21st June). Investors closely scrutinise this two-day testimony to gain insights …

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Positive Talks Between Blinken And Xi Spur Hope For Equities

Additionally, China has announced its first reduction in the benchmark lending rate in 10 months, a move that could provide support for oil prices. Last night, the U.S. Secretary of State met with the Chinese President and expressed satisfaction with the accomplishments of their trip. This positive development in bilateral relations has …

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Blinken Potentially Meeting President Xi

Improved relationships between the US and China could potentially lead to the equities markets surging Equities in the U.S. contracted last Friday after a bullish run in the past week with Nasdaq up by more than 3%. Notably, U.S. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken’s visit to China, including meetings with top diplomats …

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Dollar Surrenders After Rate Pause Decision

Following the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the interest rate unchanged, equity markets responded positively, leading to upward movements, while the U.S. dollar experienced a significant decline of nearly 1% last night. On the other hand, Asian equities continue to gain, helped by the expectation of more stimulus from China. On top …

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Hawkish Tone From The Fed After Rate Pause

While the Fed has paused rates at their June FOMC meeting, their hawkish tone has caused the dollar to rise The Federal Reserve kept the interest rate unchanged at 5.25%, in line with market expectations, as U.S. inflation showed signs of moderating. Despite a rate pause, the dollar quickly erased its losses …

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Asian Equities Rise On China Stimulus Package

Additionally, a planned visit by the US Secretary of State has boosted indices like the HSI The Chinese government introduced an economic stimulus package, including lowering their deposit rate as soon as mid-June. Meanwhile, the U.S. Secretary of State has planned to visit China, which may improve the bilateral relationship between the …

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Dollar Hammered By Weak PMI Data

The dollar’s value experienced a decline, falling below $104 following the release of disappointing U.S. service PMI data. The reading dropped from 51.9 to 50.3, prompting the market to reconsider the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing its interest rate hike in June. Investors are currently awaiting the announcement from the Reserve …

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US Federal Reserve Signals June Hike Skip

Focus has shifted from the US debt ceiling back to macro data and the Fed’s benchmark interest rate The dollar experienced its largest daily decline in almost a month as U.S. manufacturing data and statements from Federal Reserve officials reinforced expectations of a potential interest rate hike delay. Meanwhile, the euro rebounded …

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Is The Fed Skipping The June Rate Hike?

Over 70% of punters are now betting on a hike pause at the upcoming FOMC meeting The focus of attention is currently directed towards the U.S. Senate, where the passage of the debt limit is being closely observed. Concurrently, senators are engaged in debates concerning 11 amendments to the bill. The value …

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Debt Limit Bill Vote Passes The House

A Bipartisan Agreement To Suspend The Debt Ceiling Is Now Awaiting Approval From The U.S. Senate The House of Representatives has successfully passed a debt ceiling deal to prevent a potentially catastrophic event. However, the process is not yet complete as the bill now awaits approval from the Senate, where not all …

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Optimism Ignites Asian Markets As Debt Ceiling Deal Sparks Risk Appetite

Market participants are now eagerly waiting for the conclusion of a debt ceiling deal in congress Global markets experienced a mixed landscape as Western holidays provided a sense of calm for dollar-related currencies. In contrast, Asian markets saw a surge in positive sentiment, driving the Nikkei index to its highest level in …

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Dollar Soars On Optimistic Debt Ceiling Deal

Markets Risk-on After Positive U.S. debt Ceiling Deal Boosted The Dollar The US Dollar continued its impressive rally, buoyed by the optimistic prospects of a tentative debt ceiling deal between President Joe Biden and top Republican Kevin McCarthy. The deal aims to avert a potentially catastrophic default, boosting investor sentiment. Concurrently, the …

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Dollar Surges On Robust Economic Data, Fueling Investor Confidence

The US Dollar was buoyed by robust US economic data and positive market sentiment. US GDP exceeded expectations, posting a strong growth rate of 1.30% compared to the projected 1.10%. Encouraging job market data also contributed to the dollar’s strength, with Initial Jobless Claims coming in lower than anticipated at 229K. The …

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Credit Rating Agencies Threatens to Cut U.S. Rating

Fitch has threatened to lower the US’ AAA rating as the debt ceiling issue remains at an impasse Wall Street slid as well as the Asian stock markets as the worries over the debt ceiling escalated when the time was getting closer to the X-date. Meanwhile, the dollar strengthened to its highest …

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U.S. Debt Ceiling Remains At An Impasse

The Biden-McCarthy meeting on the debt-limit bill has yet to yield any deal to avert a catastrophic U.S. default, with U.S. Treasury secretary warning that the country will run out of cash in June. Market sentiment worsened as the White House has no more meetings planned; and gold prices have rebounded due …

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Biden-McCarthy Talks Productive

Both President Biden and the House Speaker claimed that yesterday’s meeting on the debt-limit bill has a productive outcome but both parties are yet to come to an agreement. Meanwhile, U.S. treasury secretary Janet Yellen, reiterated that the department will run out of cash in early June. The dollar index has strengthened …

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Debt-Limit Talks Resume

After a brief setback in debt ceiling talks, US President Joe Biden is set to resume discussions with Kevin McCarthy President Biden is scheduled to resume discussions on the debt limit with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy on Monday, following his participation in the G-7 Summit. The dollar index reached its highest level …

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Dollar Surges On Positive Data And US Debt Ceiling Deal

Optimism In The Markets Has Seen The US Dollar Index And Equities Rising In Tandem The Dollar Index surged, buoyed by upbeat economic data, and the optimism surrounding a potential deal to raise the US debt ceiling. Prominent Republican Kevin McCarthy expressed confidence in passing a bill to increase the debt ceiling, …

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Biden Confident On Debt Ceiling Bill

President Biden is confident in reaching a bipartisan agreement with congressional leaders to elevate the debt ceiling, effectively averting an unprecedented default situation for the United States. This development has sparked a wave of optimism, prompting the dollar to trade higher, while the safe haven commodity gold languishes amid the surge in …

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Positive Progress On U.S. Debt Ceiling Bill

Investors are rotating out of gold en masse on optimism surrounding the U.S. avoiding a default Both President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy struck an optimistic tone regarding the prospects of reaching a consensus to raise the national debt ceiling and avert a potentially catastrophic default on the debt. As a …

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All Eyes On Biden Meeting Outcome

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has once again emphasised the need to pass the debt ceiling bill before June 1, warning that failure to do so could result in the federal government running out of cash to meet its obligations. President Biden is set to hold a meeting with congressional leaders today …

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Dollar Boosted By Fed’s Hawkish Comments

A bounce in the U.S. dollar has put downward pressure on oil and gold prices Equity markets were stagnant while the dollar has strengthened, driven by hawkish comments from various Fed officials stressing high inflation in the U.S. On the other hand, President Joe Biden and the country’s congressional leaders are going …

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Understand How Asset Classes Correlate With Each Other

Understand The Intermarket Correlations Across Different Asset Classes And Role Of ETFs As an investor or trader, understanding how various asset classes relate to each other is critical to make informed investment decisions, build diversified portfolios, and manage risk. Asset class correlation refers to the extent to which the prices of different …

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Biden-McCarthy Meeting Postponed

Investor sentiment has taken a hit in the market following the postponement of a meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and the House Speaker to address the looming debt ceiling crisis. The Biden administration is under pressure to pass the debt ceiling bill by June to avoid a potential default on the …

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Soft CPI Give Fed Room To Pause Rates

A lower-than-expected inflation has lent optimism to the markets The latest U.S. inflation figures have provided the Federal Reserve with some respite on its upcoming rate hike decision. The data for April showed a slight drop in inflation to 4.9% from 5%, easing the Fed’s dilemma. As a result, the dollar weakened …

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Markets Calm Before U.S. Inflation Data

As investors await the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and monitor the development of the U.S. debt ceiling, the markets remain subdued. Most of the asset classes saw little change overnight ahead of the U.S. CPI, which is due to release later today (10th May). On the other hand, the market is …

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Markets Quietly Await U.S. CPI

The markets are quiet before the U.S. CPI released on Wednesday (10th May). U.S. equity markets moved sideways while the dollar index and gold prices have little change as the market is digesting the renewed banking sector risk as well as developments regarding the U.S. debt ceiling. On the other hand, Australia …

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Share Markets Advance After NFP Release

The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) reading was in line with expectations, showing a substantial increase from the previous reading of 165,000 to 253,000. This suggests that the job market in the United States remains strong, indicating a robust economy. The equity market responded positively to this economic data and closed higher, resulting in …

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Equity Market Slides Ahead Of NFP Release

Renewed fears about the banking crisis have caused investors to turn risk-off even as gold hits a new high While investors are still digesting the recent rate hike by both the Fed and the ECB, the equity markets continue to slide with the renewed banking turmoil. Several regional banks in the US …

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Understanding What Indices Are And How To Trade Them

Indices trading can provide several benefits to traders, which includes allowing diversification of trade, access to multiple major markets and cost effectiveness. Find out exactly what indices trading is and how to trade indices in this comprehensive guide.  What Are Indices Indices are key indicators in the financial markets, serving as a …

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Fed Rate At The Highest Level Since 2007

The dollar has dipped on dovish expectations and downward pressure on the economy Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced yesterday that the central bank would deliver its 10th consecutive interest-rate hike of 25 basis points, bringing the Fed rate to 5.25%, its highest level since 2007. Powell also hinted that the Fed …

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Wall Street Rally Boosts Asian Equities

Markets now hang in balance with the future of First Republic Bank on contagion concerns Wall Street’s gained at the end of last week as investors waited for news on a bid for First Republic Bank. Japanese and Australian stocks edged higher, while U.S. futures were broadly flat in early Asian trading …

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Nasdaq Leads Wall Street Rally as US Tech Earnings Shine

The tech-heavy index is up over 2.7% on the day, with companies like Meta Platforms leading the rise Nasdaq led a Wall Street rally driven by robust earnings from US tech firms, despite concerns over US economic growth. Meta Platforms saw the biggest gains after forecasting quarterly revenue above estimates, citing AI’s …

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Euro Surges on Upward German Growth Forecast, ECB Hawkish Tone

The euro has received a boost from a combination of hawkish guidance from the ECB and positive economic data in the region The Euro stole the spotlight as it surged to a record high following Germany’s upward revision of its economic growth forecast for 2023. The move is reinforced by positive indicators, …

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First Republic Bank’s Deposit Plunge Sparks Risk-Off.

A probable bank run and a far lower-than-expected drop in deposits have prompted market participants to turn to safe havens First Republic Bank’s disappointing first-quarter results with a significant plunge in deposit levels, had raised concerns about the bank’s financial health. This triggered a risk-off sentiment, driving the CBOE Volatility Index to …

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Dollar Slips Ahead of Fed’s Monetary Policy Decision

With a 25-point hike already priced in for the dollar, investors have turned to the ECB’s hawkish outlook to price the euro The US Dollar slipped to a one-week low as investors pondered the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy ahead of next week’s meeting, where a rate hike is expected. Uncertainty lingers, with …

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Investors Brace for Uncertainty Ahead of Key Economic Data

The U.S. is trading flat as the markets prepare for potential uncertainty ahead of GDP and inflation figures The King Dollar is trading flat as market participants prepare for potential uncertainties. The upcoming release of GDP figures, core PCE price index, and employment cost index are critical for global investors. Meanwhile, the …

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Asian Shares Dip Amid Cautious Trading

The VIX dipped to its lowest level in over a year as equities trade sideways ahead of the Fed interest rate decision Asian shares traded lower, and U.S. equity futures fell as investors remained cautious after Wall Street closed with little change. The CBOE VIX volatility index hit its lowest level in …

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Dollar Struggles as Investors Remain Sceptical of Fed’s Hawkish Tone

The US Dollar continues to struggle as uncertainty over US monetary policy lingers in the global financial market. Despite hawkish comments from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard regarding the need for rate hikes to combat inflation, market participants remain sceptical as the recent inflation data from the US region …

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China’s GDP Shows Solid Economic Recovery

Economic growth in the world’s second-largest economy will be bullish for oil prices China’s freshly released economic data has shown resilient growth in the country compared to the previous quarter. China’s GDP in the first quarter surged to 2.2% from the previous quarter’s 0%, a favourable sign that could potentially stimulate higher …

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Markets Cautious Ahead of Earnings Season

Equities are muted as markets await the expected volatility of the earnings season US index futures cautiously climbed during the Asian market session, signalling investors’ apprehension ahead of the upcoming earnings season. Against the backdrop of growing concerns over economic slowdown and the possibility of further rate hikes, market volatility is expected …

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Rate Hike Expectations Falter as PPI Plummets. 

The US Producer Price Index came in lower than expected The US Federal Reserve’s rate hike expectations have continued to wane amid a flurry of lacklustre economic data. The latest blow to inflationary pressures came from the Producer Price Index (PPI) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which displayed a significant …

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US Dollar Dips as Inflation Falls Short. 

US Treasury yields and the Greenback dipped as investors recalibrated their expectations for rate hikes following the release of March’s Consumer Price Index (CPI), which came in below the market consensus. This unexpected dip in inflation triggered a surge in the prices of non-yielding assets such as gold and crude oil, as …

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Markets Calm Before Inflation Data

Economists project the upcoming U.S. CPI figures will galvanise the markets in either direction depending on its performance U.S. equity markets have traded in low volatility for the past few sessions, but economists project the lull period will be broken after the U.S. CPI is released later today. A softer reading from …

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Equities Market Edge Higher as Risk-On Sentiment Escalates

The market has a higher risk tolerance, with U.S. equity markets edging higher and the dollar extending its gain for the 2nd straight session. On the other hand, notwithstanding a dovish stance from the newly appointed BoJ governor, economists projected that the ultra-loose monetary policy is unsustainable with the rising inflation in …

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Markets Muted While Celebrating Easter

Last Friday, U.S. economic data gave mixed signals, leaving the markets clueless, especially on the upcoming Fed’s monetary policy. The Non-Farm Payroll decelerated to 236k but is in line with the market consensus. However, the country recorded a record low in the unemployment rate, showing that the labour market remains hot. Most …

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Markets Steady Ahead of NonFarm Payroll.

Most of the asset classes were muted ahead of the Nonfarm Payroll report which will be released today; Markets seemed confused and contradictory between asset classes with the backdrop of high inflation and recession fears. Assets class, including equity markets, the U.S. dollar, gold, stayed flat on Thursday amid directionless trading. On …

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Is a Recession Looming?

Recession fears have escalated in the markets, especially after the ADP Nonfarm payroll was released yesterday. The dollar index traded higher, and gold prices poised at a yearly high as safe-haven assets are being sought after by investors amid a recession looming with a lower-than-expected U.S. job report. On top of that, …

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Banking Crisis Fears Resurface

Evidence of a weakening U.S. economy has led investors to rotate out of the dollar Although a hawkish statement from Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester advocated for sustained rates above 5%; the market is struggling with the resurgence of banking fears. The newly released economic data, including the manufacturing PMI and JOLTs …

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Stock Markets Mixed On Concerns Over Oil Inflation Risk

OPEC+’s surprise production cut has roiled Asian the equity markets U.S. equity markets continue to be bullish, with market sentiment continuing upwards after the banking sector woes. Asian markets saw mixed performance due to inflationary worry after a surprise move from OPEC+. The oil cartel further cut production by more than 1 …

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Oil Prices Surges With OPEC+ Surprise Supply Cuts 

Oil prices surged by more than 8%, with WTI crude trading above $81 for the first time since January after an unexpected announcement from OPEC+ to cut crude supply to tighten the market. The oil allies announced cutting more than 1 million barrels of oil per day, with Saudi Arabia leading the …

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Global Markets Maintain Risk-On Sentiment in Anticipation of Key PCE Reports

China’s economic performance continues to astound global markets as the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data revealed that the service sector activity in the country surged to its fastest pace in 12 years in March. Such sentiment has sparked optimism for the antipodean currencies, which are closely linked to China’s economy. The …

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Tech Shares Push Wall Street Higher

Wall Street rallied following the footstep of Asian equity markets last night, pushed by tech shares as concerns over the stability of the financial system continue to ease. An increasing risk-on attitude has also muted the gold prices and the U.S. dollar while U.S. treasuries yield stays flat. Before the RBA announces …

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China Equity Market Rallies with Alibaba Revamp

Chinese stock indices, including the Hang Seng Index, rallied as Alibaba said it would split the company into 6 units that would potentially be listed individually. This reflects a loosening attitude from the Chinese government toward the technology companies after the long crackdown from Beijing. On the other hand, the fresh Australian …

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Markets Get Relief From Banking Turmoil

The banking crisis was seemingly resolved after yesterday’s news reported that First Citizens Bancshares Inc agreed to buy Silicon Valley Bank. On top of that, the U.S. authorities are considering expanding its emergency lending facilities for banks to shore up the bank’s balance sheet, which in a way supports the embattled First …

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Markets Put Less Weight On Banking Crisis

Focus has shifted back to inflation and interest rates as the banking crisis shows signs of easing Equity markets advanced and major currencies fluctuated in narrow ranges in the last session. Easing in the banking crisis and perceived lower risk of recession spurred the equity market to trade higher while modest rate …

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Equities Markets Slide as Banking Sector Concern Still Intact. 

Wall Street was hindered by the banking sector and slumped after investors digested the comment from Janet Yellen, U.S. Treasury Secretary on Wednesday’s hearing. However, Yellen attempted to alleviate market concerns during a subsequent hearing on Thursday, promising that policymakers would take further action to safeguard bank deposits if necessary. Meanwhile, Japan’s …

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Fed is not Pausing Rate Hike

Jerome Powell delivered a smaller size of rate hike of 25 bps which is in line with the market consensus; however, the market was hit by double assail with U.S. major indexes dropping by more than 1% and the dollar traded below $103. Firstly, Powell revealed that the Fed considered pausing the …

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Markets Risk-on Ahead of Fed’s Interest Rate Decision

Wall Street closed high and gold prices retraced as the fears over the banking sector crisis abated; the dollar index remains calm before the Fed’s interest rate decision announcement, which will be made later today (22nd March). However, investors are starting to discuss the banking turmoil as aftermath of central banks’ frenetic …

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CPI数据左右美联储加息决策?

市场须知 尽管美国政府宣布采取措施进一步遏制系统性风险并维护市场信心,但硅谷银行的影响继续在全球金融市场引起反响。股市在这个不确定时期表现平淡,而投资者对避险资产的兴趣增加,并推动金价在一个月内首次突破 1900 美元。今天发布的 CPI 数据对美联储至关重要,高读数将使美联储在金融不稳定时期是否加息陷入困境。另一方面,澳大利亚的商业信心数据滑入负面区域,增加了澳洲联储可能考虑暂停其货币政策紧缩计划的可能性。此外,尽管欧佩克和国际能源署对石油需求前景持乐观态度,但油价仍受美国银行业危机冲击,​​在过去 5 个交易日下跌超过 8%。 市场看点 当前对 3 月 22 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: 25个基点 (23.2%) 对比 50 个基点 (76.8%) 市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数 硅谷银行(Silicon Valley Bank)和签名银行(Signature Bank)的倒闭给整个金融行业带来了冲击波,导致投资者大幅调整了他们对美联储(Federal Reserve)即将出台的利率决定的预期。因此,许多人涌向安全的政府债券,推高债券价格,促使两年期美国国债收益率创下2008年全球金融危机以来的最大单日跌幅。该市场动荡也对美元产生了重大影响,美国国债收益率下降消弱美元需求量。 美元指数正在走低,目前正在测试支撑位。然而,MACD指标显示看涨势头增强,而相对强弱指数(RSI)在41,这表明该指数短期内将因技术回调而走高。 阻力位:104.15,105.10 支撑位:103.65,102.85 黄金/美元 随着投资者在市场动荡中寻求更安全资产,黄金和白银价格上涨,反映出对这些贵金属的需求增加。市场将继续充满不确定性和波动性,这使得投资者对自己的投资组合保持谨慎和长期眼光变得比以往任何时候都更加重要。最终,投资者应该关注美联储如何解决近期动荡问题,以获得更多交易信号。 黄金价格突破阻力位后走高。然而,MACD指标显示看涨势头减弱,而相对强弱指数(RSI)在89,表明大宗商品可能进入超买区域。 阻力位:1925.00,1955.00 支撑位:1990.00,1885.00 欧元/美元 在美元从月度低点反弹并小幅反弹后,欧元的涨势停止。硅谷银行 (SVB) 关门事件继续引发反响,这打压了美元,因为在美国银行业危机中美联储可能不会推出更高利率的预期更高。投资者还对溢出效应可能蔓延至欧元区持谨慎态度,该经济集团中有 SVB 利益相关者。尽管在金融市场不确定性的背景下加息 50 个基点的预期有所下降,但投资者现在关注的是今天公布的美国通胀数据。 技术面上,由于 RSI 未能突破超买区域而 MACD 仍处于上升趋势中,欧元的看涨动能减弱。 阻力位:1.0797 …

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美国银行危机拖垮市场

市场须知 华尔街因担心美国银行业而暴跌,情绪已蔓延至亚洲金融股。尽管 Silvergate 银行在决定结束其业务并清算其资产后倒闭,但 SVB 金融集团的流动性问题使事情变得更糟。由于证券投资组合损失和风险资本存款减少,这家总部位于硅谷的银行推出了股票销售以支撑其资产负债表。加密货币也正面临逆风,BTC 因 Silvergate 银行倒闭以及美联储加息等宏观经济因素承压,隔夜暴跌 8% 以上。在其他方面,在中国经济数据显示这世界最大石油进口国的经济复苏弱于预期后,油价小幅走低。 市场看点 当前对 3 月 22 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: 25个基点 (44.3%) 对比 50 个基点 (55.7%) 市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数 在非农就业数据公布前夕,美元下跌。昨日,有数据显示,美国首次申请失业救济人数激增,超出了市场预期,促使投资者预计,即劳动力市场走软可能降低美联储(fed)再次加速加息的可能性。根据美国劳工部的数据,截至3月4日当周,美国首次申请失业救济人数增加2.1万人,经季节调整后为21.1万人,低于经济学家预测的19.5万人。市场目前正在等待周五的非农就业数据,经济学家预计2月份就业人数将增加20.5万人,明显低于1月份的51.7万人。 美元指数正在走低,目前正在测试支撑位。MACD显示看跌势头减弱,而相对强弱指数(RSI)在40,这表明随着相对强弱指数(RSI)从超卖区域反弹,该指数可能会走高。 阻力位:105.80,106.25 支撑位:105.05,104.25 黄金/美元 黄金价格飙升,因为有报告显示,世界各国央行继续大量囤积黄金作为储备。世界黄金协会(World Gold Council)的最新数据显示,各国央行1月份黄金储备净增77吨,较去年12月增长了192%。面对地缘政治的不确定性和不断升级的通胀,各国央行选择以更快的速度增持黄金,这并不令人意外。与此同时,投资者正密切关注美国就业数据,以寻找进一步的交易信号。作为对冲经济不确定性的工具,黄金继续吸引大量关注。 黄金价格走高,目前正在测试阻力位。然而,MACD指标显示看涨势头减弱,而相对强弱指数(RSI)位于60,这表明,由于相对强弱指数(RSI)从超买区域回落,金价可能会随着技术回调而走低。 阻力位:1830.00,1845.00 支撑位:1820.00,1805.00 欧元/美元 在上周初美元走强后,欧元连续第二天反弹。在昨天公布初请失业金人数后,美元从其看涨势头中缓和下来。该数据高于市场预期,来到 21万1千,也高于前值 的19万。该数据间接暗示美国失业率可能更高,美联储可能会考虑加息日期。投资者可能会密切关注非农就业数据,该数据定于今天晚些时候发布,以衡量美联储下一步的货币政策举措。 在技​​术方面,指标给出了该货币对的反转信号,RSI 从超卖水平上方强劲反弹至 50,而 MACD 线已与零线下方的信号线收敛。 阻力位:  1.0698, 1.0822 支撑位:1.0613, 1.0540 …

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鲍威尔预示更高更快的加息

市场须知 杰罗姆·鲍威尔 (Jerome Powell) 昨晚在参议院银行业委员会作了为期 2 天的证词,他的鹰派言论震撼了市场。鉴于当前强于预期的经济数据,美联储主席警告称,如果需要,将加息幅度更大、速度更快,美元飙升至去年 12 月以来的最高水平,而股市暴跌。在鲍威尔的鹰派立场推动美元上涨超过 1% 之后,包括黄金和石油在内的所有以美元计价的资产类别的价格都出现了下跌。最重要的是,美国 2 年期国债收益率跃升至 5% 以上,为 2007 年以来的最高水平,10 年期国债收益率的收益率曲线倒挂是 40年来最极端的。此外,加拿大央行将于今天宣布其利率决定;预计加拿大央行将维持当前政策利率不变。 市场看点 当前对 3 月 22 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: 25个基点 (25.1%) 对比 50 个基点 (74.9%)   市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数 美国联邦储备委员会(美联储)主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔发表强硬言论后,美元应声暴涨。鲍威尔最近在国会山发表讲话时警告说,利率可能会高于至央行政策制定者最初预测的水平。引用最近的数据显示,通货膨胀率在2022年底之前扭转了下降趋势,并警告说,为了遏制快速扩张的经济,有必要收紧货币政策。去年12月,官员们估计终端利率为5.10%。然而,根据芝加哥商品交易所集团(CME Group)的数据,在鲍威尔发表讲话后,当前市场定价显示利率区间为5.5% – 5.75%。其结果是,美国国债收益率飙升,而股市则大幅下跌。 美元指数走高,目前正在测试阻力位。然而,MACD指标显示看涨势头减弱,而相对强弱指数在82,表明该指数正在进入超买区域。 阻力位:105.60,106.25 支撑位:105.05,104.25 黄金/美元 周二黄金价格大幅下跌,主要原因是美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔发表鹰派言论后美元走强。鲍威尔最近在国会发表讲话时警告说,随着近期数据利好,加上高通胀前景,利率可能会高于央行政策制定者最初预测的水平。鲍威尔的言论立即影响了美元,美元应声飙升。美元走强,反过来也给金价带来了相对的下行压力。 黄金价格走低,目前正在测试支撑位。然而,MACD指标显示看跌势头减弱,而相对强弱指数(RSI)为16,表明大宗商品正在进入超卖区域。 阻力位:1820.00,1830.00 支撑位:1805.00,1790.00 欧元/美元 在杰罗姆·鲍威尔 (Jerome Powell) 发表第一天的证词后,昨晚欧元受到看涨美元的冲击超过 …

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劳动市场依旧火爆

市场须知 尽管初请失业金人数显示美国劳动力市场依然火爆,但美国股市昨日上涨,美国国债收益率下跌。美联储官员给予相对温和的立场包括提及支持25个基点的加息鼓励市场冒险。在日本,近三分之二的日本央行观察人士预计货币政策将在 6 月前发生变化,而日本央行正在监测近期调整其刺激计划的影响。日本央行实施的紧缩货币政策将提振日元走强。对于黑色商品,WTI 原油交易价格接近每桶 78 美元,本周涨幅超过 2%,因为沙特阿美公司的数据支持对中国经济复苏的乐观情绪,称中国消费“非常强劲”。 市场看点 当前对 3 月 22 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: 25个基点 (70.8%) 对比 50 个基点 (29.2%)   市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数 美元指数周四上涨了0.56%,至104.96美元,因为美国的工作数据表明劳动力市场仍然很紧张,通货膨胀率仍然很高,对美联储可能提高利率的担忧增加。 周四,美国最初的失业者索赔数据显示,上周的索赔下降至190,000,比预期的195,000索赔减少了5,000,这表明了一个仍然强劲的就业市场,并补充了市场担心美联储可以在更长的时间内保持利率增加 。 同时,劳动力成本增加到3.2%,高于先前估计的1.6%。 它表明,尽管经济衰退的风险增加了,但劳动力市场仍然很紧张,这有助于通过稳定的工资增长来提高通货膨胀。 这两个数据都促使美元上涨。 此外,MACD在短期内说明了看涨的势头。 RSI的交易价格为57,表明前进的势头。 只要大多数美联储官员最近处于鹰派立场,总体趋势可能会提高。 阻力位:105.32, 107.12 支撑位: 104.61, 103.85 黄金/美元 周四, 黄金价格微微上扬至$1838。 数据显示,美国最初的失业索赔上周减少到190,000个索赔,表明劳动力市场仍然很紧张,并暗示美联储可能提高了更多的利率。 现在,市场上充满了关于美联储的鹰派语调,可能会继续提高利率,增加对衰退风险的担忧并帮助提高黄金价格。 此外,9月份的市场定价为5.5%,一些交易员甚至提高加息押注,并预测基准利率可能达到6%。 投资者应在下周等待更多经济数据的同时谨慎交易。 如我们所见,黄金价格继续朝着下一个阻力位的1842美元发展。 在短期内,它有可能会超过1842美元的水平。 如果是这样,我们预计价格将进入另一个地区,从1842美元到1862美元。 此外,MACD表明了看涨的势头,而RSI的交易价格为64,这表明该商品可能开始进入看涨的势头。 阻力位: 1842, 1862 …

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PCE指数备受关注

市场须知 在今天晚些时候(2 月 24 日)发布 PCE 价格指数之前,美国股市几乎没有变化,美元指数昨晚持平。昨天公布的美国经济数据喜忧参半,包括低于预期的首次申请失业救济人数和低于预期的 GDP,这让投资者对美联储的下一步行动感到不确定。在日本,即将上任的日本央行行长上田一夫表示,由于日本尚未持续稳定地实现 2% 的通膨目标,因此超宽松货币政策是合适的。日元兑走强的美元在 134 日元上方波动,尤其是在日本央行政策转变的希望破灭之后。另一方面,受俄罗斯将在未来一个月削减 25% 的石油供应以及美国原油库存下降(尽管读数高于市场预期。 市场看点 当前对 3 月 22 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: 25个基点 (71.6%) 对比 50 个基点 (28.4%)  市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数 喜忧参半数据公布后,美元指数基本保持不变,在关键水平徘徊。近期数据显示经济强劲和通胀持续的迹象,这在短期内增强了美元的看涨势头。美国首次申请失业救济人数从之前的19.5万下降到19.2万,超过了市场预期的20万,这增加了美元乐观的前景。此外,最近的消费者价格指数(CPI)和生产者价格指数(PPI)数据鼓励投资者提高了通胀预测,推动美国10年期国债收益率达到自去年11月以来的最高水平,并支持美元牛市趋势。投资者目前仍然需要留意今晚会公布的个人消费支出(PCE)数据以后的更多交易信号。 美元指数走高,目前正在测试阻力位。MACD显示看涨势头增强,而RSI在63,这表明该指数可能会在成功突破后继续上涨,因为RSI保持在中线以上。 阻力位:104.60,105.55 支撑位:103.85,102.85 黄金/美元 黄金价格下跌的主要原因是美元走强所造成。最近几周,积极的经济数据和美国政策制定者的鹰派言论提振了对美元的需求,抑制了以美元计价的黄金的吸引力。目前而言,投资者将密切关注任何可能影响美元走势的潜在动向,这可能会影响短期内黄金的走势。 黄金价格走低,目前正在测试支撑位。MACD指标显示出越来越多的看跌势头,而相对强弱指数(RSI)在39,这表明大宗商品可能会在突破后扩大损失,因为相对强弱指数低于中线。 阻力位:1845.00,1860.00 支撑位:1820.00,1795.00 欧元/美元 美元保持坚挺,尤其是在美国公布初请失业金人数之后,因为该数据低于预期,反映出劳动力市场火爆,最终可能会提振消费者支出。这坚定了投资者的信念,即美联储可能会在即将出台的货币政策中更加激进。投资者正在等待更高的通胀相关数据,美国 PCE 价格指数将于今天晚些时候发布,以衡量美联储的下一步行动。此外,德国GDP也将于今天(2月24日)公布;高于预期的读数可能会刺激欧元交易至其关键阻力位 1.0600 美元上方。 欧元持平徘徊在其关键支撑位 1.0600 美元。指标显示中性信号,因为 RSI 在 30 水平上方波动最小,而 …

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What Are Bonds And How Do They Work

What Are Bonds? A bond is a type of loan in which a bondholder lends money to a company or government. The borrower pays interest periodically until a specified date in the future when repaying the original loan amount. The final amount that the bond issuer repays to the bondholder is called …

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U.S. Midterm Elections Ahead

What You Need to Know Asian markets are on the upsurge, especially the Hong Kong market, which climbed more than 11% in November. The Sterling will suffer as the BoE has turned its focus from inflation to saving its negative economic outlook, which will drive the market to sell off more pounds. …

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U.S. Shares Tumble on Hawkish Fed Signals

On Wednesday, 2 November, the US Federal Reserve implemented its fourth mega hike, raising interest rates by 75 basis points, or 0.75%, in its continuing fight against high inflation. This brings the current Fed’s benchmark rate to 3.75% – 4%, with rates expected to hit a ceiling at 4.5% – 4.75% in …

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Gold Remains Downbeat as Treasury Yields Hit Decade High

Recession fears are plaguing the markets more strongly than ever. On Wednesday, US Treasury yields hit a 14-year high, with the 10-year note hitting as high as 4.153% as of writing – the highest since 2008’s recession. Meanwhile, the 2-year yield rose by 13 basis points to 4.57%. More importantly, the 3-month …

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More U-turns Foreseen From Bank of England

UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng made an unprecedentedly dramatic early exit from an International Monetary Fund event in Washington on Friday, with many thinking it was to return to the UK to prepare his fiscal plan. Turns out, Kwarteng was being asked to leave his post by UK Prime Minister …

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Outsized ADP Nonfarm Employment Fizzles Stock Rally give back

On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment data was released, clocking in at 208,000 jobs added, better than the 200,000 forecasted and August’s 185,000. While the manufacturing, natural resources, and mining industries reported a loss of 29,000 positions, huge additions in the trade, transportation, utilities; and business and professional services …

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Currencies Hit Record Levels Against USD

As risk appetites move ever lower and the US dollar soars, sovereign currencies are seeing the effects of global economic uncertainty. The pound has hit a record low against the greenback after the UK government introduced a new stimulus package just after the appointment of conservative party candidate Liz Truss as Prime …

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FOMC Minutes Reveals Fed’s Inflation Fears

On Wednesday, 17 August (GMT+3), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes for its 26-27 July meeting. In it, the Fed has finally decided to take a step back to assess the effects of aggressive monetary tightening. For the past few rate hikes, which saw increases as high as 75 …

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Cooling US CPI Numbers Give Hope for Soft Landing 

On Tuesday evening (GMT+3), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July was released, showing a year-on-year growth of 8.5% – lower than the expected growth of 8.7% and the previous month’s increase of 9.1%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile categories like food and energy, comes in at an increase of 0.3% …

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US ADP Nonfarm Data Points To Half-Point Rate Hike

On Wednesday afternoon March 30 (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change data reported an increase in 455,000 jobs. This figure is slightyly more than the expected increase of 450,000, and down from the previous month’s value of 486,000. While higher than expected, March’s ADP Employment numbers are still the lowest seen …

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Gold Steadies as Fed Increases Interest Rate By Expected 0.25%

On Wednesday, 16 March, the US Federal Reserve made the long-awaited decision to raise interest rates to combat surging inflation. As per the market’s expectations, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points. The 0.25% rate hike was voted on almost unanimously by policymakers, except St Louis Fed president James Bullard, who voted …

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Understanding Fundamental Forex Trading Basics

Content: What Is Forex Or The Foreign Exchange?Example Of Forex TradingWhen Is Forex Traded?What Are Quotes In Forex Trading?How Do You Read A Forex Quote?Understanding What Is A Pip And A LotExplaining The Bid, Ask And Spread In Forex TradingWhat Does It Mean To Go Long Or Short In Forex TradingWhat Is …

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Inflation

What is inflation?We’ve spoken about inflation a lot in this module, and in case you haven’t got it yet; put simply inflation is ‘Rising prices’. It can also be described as the sustained increase in the prices of goods and services. What does inflation do?Inflation causes what we call an erosion of the …

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Forex

FOREX is the largest financial market in the world in terms of both size and liquidity. To give you a general idea of the size, an average of $5 trillion is traded globally each day. No stock market in the world trades such a huge amount on a daily basis. The idea …

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What is currency

Currency, or foreign exchange, often abbreviated as forex or simply FX, refers to the exchange of global currencies on a decentralised market place – also known as over the counter (OTC) currency exchange. The foreign exchange market is the largest and most liquid market in the world, with an average daily trading …

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